Хвостатые гостьи 16 (коррекции орбиты) ..

[Silvester]

P/2009 SK280 (Spacewatch-Hill), М-1, #39, MPEC 2010-U28
#39

Коррекция орбиты кометы P/2009 SK280 (Spacewatch-Hill) #39 ..

[Silvester]

103P/Hartley 2, К-1, К-2, M-1, М-2, #917, #2405, #183, #12, #2733
#2733

103P/Hartley 2 (q=1.059 AU, Q=5.886 AU, TP=2010 Oct. 28.25936 TT), MPEC 2010-W22 ..

Элементы орбиты кометы 103P/Hartley 2:
Epoch 2010 Oct. 11.0 TT = JDT 2455480.5
T 2010 Oct. 28.25936 TT MPC
q 1.0586789 (2000.0) P Q
n 0.15231602 Peri. 181.20105 +0.75553440 -0.63756647
a 3.4724739 Node 219.75981 +0.60299681 +0.76665586
e 0.6951226 Incl. 13.61826 +0.25605198 +0.07581414
P 6.47
From 3810 observations 1997 May 2-2010 Nov. 23, mean residual 0".60. Non-
gravitational parameters A1 = +0.23 +/- 0.00, A2 = +0.0284 +/- 0.0001.
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Epoch 2004 June 4.0 TT = JDT 2453160.5
T 2004 May 17.94272 TT MPC
q 1.0362640 (2000.0) P Q
n 0.15390232 Peri. 180.80998 +0.75829908 -0.63421461
a 3.4485719 Node 219.89789 +0.59942745 +0.76929029
e 0.6995092 Incl. 13.60186 +0.25626009 +0.07722874
P 6.40
From 3810 observations 1997 May 2-2010 Nov. 23, mean residual 0".60. Non-
gravitational parameters A1 = +0.23 +/- 0.00, A2 = +0.0284 +/- 0.0001.
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Epoch 1997 Dec. 18.0 TT = JDT 2450800.5
T 1997 Dec. 22.01764 TT MPC
q 1.0317130 (2000.0) P Q
n 0.15425374 Peri. 180.72325 +0.75862366 -0.63374071
a 3.4433321 Node 219.95378 +0.59894228 +0.76969486
e 0.7003737 Incl. 13.61869 +0.25643380 +0.07708776
P 6.39
From 3810 observations 1997 May 2-2010 Nov. 23, mean residual 0".60. Non-
gravitational parameters A1 = +0.23 +/- 0.00, A2 = +0.0284 +/- 0.0001.

Эфемериды кометы 103P/Hartley 2:
Date TT R. A. (2000) Decl. Delta r Elong. Phase m1 m2
2010 11 20 07 35.73 -10 06.3 0.229 1.105 114.9 54.2 6.2 16.5
2010 11 30 07 39.06 -15 10.9 0.281 1.151 119.5 48.3 7.0 16.9
2010 12 10 07 35.72 -17 40.2 0.334 1.210 125.5 41.5 7.8 17.2
2010 12 20 07 28.50 -18 13.5 0.390 1.278 132.0 34.9 8.6 17.4
2010 12 30 07 19.90 -17 17.1 0.453 1.354 138.1 29.0 9.4 17.7
2011 01 09 07 12.05 -15 14.5 0.524 1.435 142.5 24.6 10.2 18.0
2011 01 19 07 06.61 -12 31.6 0.609 1.520 144.3 22.2 11.1 18.4
2011 01 29 07 04.31 -09 32.9 0.708 1.607 143.0 21.6 11.9 18.8
2011 02 08 07 05.26 -06 36.3 0.822 1.696 139.2 22.4 12.7 19.3
2011 02 18 07 09.21 -03 54.2 0.952 1.785 133.8 23.5 13.4 19.8
2011 02 28 07 15.69 -01 32.7 1.097 1.874 127.7 24.7 14.2 20.2
2011 03 10 07 24.22 +00 26.0 1.255 1.963 121.2 25.6 14.9 20.6
2011 03 20 07 34.37 +02 01.7 1.426 2.051 114.6 26.2 15.5 21.0
2011 03 30 07 45.73 +03 15.9 1.606 2.138 108.1 26.4 16.1 21.4
2011 04 09 07 58.00 +04 10.5 1.795 2.225 101.6 26.2 16.7 21.7
2011 04 19 08 10.93 +04 47.2 1.990 2.310 95.3 25.7 17.3 22.0
2011 04 29 08 24.29 +05 08.1 2.190 2.394 89.0 24.9 17.8 22.2
2011 05 09 08 37.94 +05 15.0 2.391 2.476 82.8 23.9 18.3 22.5
2011 05 19 08 51.74 +05 09.6 2.594 2.557 76.7 22.6 18.7 22.7
2011 05 29 09 05.59 +04 53.4 2.795 2.637 70.6 21.3 19.2 22.9
2011 06 08 09 19.43 +04 27.8 2.992 2.716 64.6 19.7 19.6 23.0
2011 06 18 09 33.18 +03 54.1 3.185 2.793 58.6 18.1 19.9 23.2
2011 06 28 09 46.80 +03 13.3 3.370 2.869 52.6 16.4 20.3 23.3
2011 07 08 10 00.26 +02 26.4 3.547 2.943 46.6 14.5 20.6 23.4
2011 07 18 10 13.53 +01 34.4 3.714 3.017 40.6 12.7 20.9 23.5
2011 07 28 10 26.59 +00 38.1 3.870 3.088 34.6 10.8 21.2 23.6

[Silvester]

C/2008 P1 (Garradd), К-1, К-2, M-1, #1551, #2402, #2408
#2712

C/2008 P1 (Garradd), (i=64.3°, q=3.896 AU, TP=2009 July 22.91801 TT), MPEC 2008-U16 ..

C/2008 P1 (Garradd), (i=64.3°, q=3.896 AU, TP=2009 July 22.93709 TT), MPEC 2010-W24 ..

Элементы орбиты кометы C/2008 P1 (Garradd):
Epoch 2009 July 28.0 TT = JDT 2455040.5
T 2009 July 22.93709 TT MPC
q 3.8961080 (2000.0) P Q
z -0.0004540 Peri. 11.86277 +0.98145109 -0.18819969
+/-0.0000006 Node 357.67657 -0.02839101 +0.04577759
e 1.0017688 Incl. 64.30894 +0.18959883 +0.98106335
From 1229 observations 2008 Aug. 13-2010 Nov. 13, mean residual 0".53.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Epoch 2009 July 28.0 TT = JDT 2455040.5
T 2009 July 22.9180 TT MPC
q 3.896163 (2000.0) P Q
z -0.000471 Peri. 11.8600 +0.9814602 -0.1881523
+/-0.000047 Node 357.6766 -0.0283933 +0.0457767
e 1.001834 Incl. 64.3089 +0.1895514 +0.9810725
From 104 observations 2008 Aug. 13-Oct. 18, mean residual 0".5.

Эфемериды кометы C/2008 P1 (Garradd):
Date TT R. A. (2000) Decl. Delta r Elong. Phase m1 m2
2010 11 20 21 03.52 +80 45.6 5.253 5.635 107.8 9.6 18.1
2010 11 30 21 05.90 +79 42.0 5.312 5.692 107.9 9.5 18.2
2010 12 10 21 13.62 +78 46.6 5.380 5.750 107.2 9.4 18.3
2010 12 20 21 25.08 +78 01.1 5.459 5.807 106.0 9.4 18.3
2010 12 30 21 39.27 +77 26.2 5.546 5.866 104.2 9.4 18.4
2011 01 09 21 55.65 +77 02.4 5.641 5.924 102.0 9.3 18.5
2011 01 19 22 13.85 +76 49.5 5.744 5.983 99.3 9.3 18.6
2011 01 29 22 33.70 +76 46.9 5.853 6.041 96.3 9.3 18.6

[Silvester]

C/2009 P1 (Garradd), К-1, К-2, M-1, #186, #2723
#2738

C/2009 P1 (Garradd), (i=82.6°, q=1.253 AU, TP=2011 Aug. 10.229 TT, 13.77-81p4 и 14.70-71p2 августа 2009 года), MPEC 2009-P54 ..

C/2009 P1 (Garradd), (i=106.2°, q=1.551 AU, TP=2011 Dec. 23.66318 TT), MPEC 2010-W25 ..

Элементы орбиты кометы C/2009 P1 (Garradd):
Epoch 2011 Dec. 25.0 TT = JDT 2455920.5
T 2011 Dec. 23.66318 TT MPC
q 1.5505203 (2000.0) P Q
z -0.0007071 Peri. 90.74615 -0.16659237 -0.82691487
+/-0.0000038 Node 325.99760 -0.58721136 +0.52077231
e 1.0010964 Incl. 106.17763 +0.79210467 +0.21215088
From 258 observations 2009 Aug. 13-2010 Nov. 20, mean residual 0".49.

Эфемериды кометы C/2009 P1 (Garradd):
Date TT R. A. (2000) Decl. Delta r Elong. Phase m1 m2
2010 11 20 21 57.33 -33 24.9 4.905 4.879 82.7 11.6 14.3
2010 11 30 21 55.41 -32 06.8 4.979 4.788 73.2 11.4 14.3
2010 12 10 21 55.07 -30 45.6 5.046 4.696 63.8 10.8 14.2
2010 12 20 21 56.11 -29 22.5 5.102 4.604 54.7 10.0 14.2
2010 12 30 21 58.33 -27 58.2 5.141 4.511 45.8 9.0 14.1
2011 01 09 22 01.54 -26 33.2 5.162 4.418 37.1 7.7 14.0

[Silvester]

C/2010 A4 (Siding Spring), К-1, M-1, #52, #60, #60
#2730

Коррекция орбиты кометы C/2010 A4 (Siding Spring) #60 ..

[Silvester]

P/2010 T2 (PANSTARRS), M-1, #128
#128

Коррекция орбиты кометы P/2010 T2 (Panstarrs) #128 ..

[Silvester]

P/2010 V1 (Ikeya-Murakami), К-1, К-2, M-1, #133, #189, #2734
#2737

Коррекция орбиты кометы P/2010 V1 (Ikeya-Murakami) #134 ..

[Silvester]

P/2010 V1 (Ikeya-Murakami), К-1, К-2, M-1, #133, #198, #2741
#2754

Коррекция орбиты кометы P/2010 V1 (Ikeya-Murakami) #134 ..

[Silvester]

C/2010 U3 (Boattini), К-1, M-1, #136
#2750

Коррекция орбиты кометы C/2010 U3 (Boattini), #136 ..

[Silvester]

C/2010 X1 (Elenin), К-1, M-1, M-2, #124, #241, #2762
#2762

Возможно, что комета C/2010 X1 (Elenin) к осени 2011 года достигнет блеска 4m.!

Элементы орбиты кометы C/2010 X1 (Elenin):
Perihelion 2011 Sep 13.190938 TT; Meyer
Epoch 2010 Dec 24.0 TT = JDT 2455554.5 Earth MOID: 0.0305 Ju: 0.1527
q 0.498340 Ve: 0.0362 Me: 0.0743 Ma: 0.0425 Sa: 0.2978 Ur: 0.2105
M(T) 10.1 K 10.0 Peri. 343.21390 0.59471429 -0.80370813
Node 323.27203 -0.73386309 -0.53297696
e 1.0 Incl. 1.83862 -0.32826798 -0.26455395
From 56 observations 2010 Dec. 10-23; RMS error 0.672 arcseconds
Closest approach on Oct. 21, 2011, at 0.15 AU! with elongation 81°

MPEC 2010-Y24
Элементы орбиты кометы C/2010 X1 (Elenin):
T 2011 Sept. 4.42662 TT MPC
q 0.4420298 (2000.0) P Q
Peri. 345.23890 +0.62238835 +0.78247027
Node 323.24604 -0.71481024 +0.55817174
e 1.0 Incl. 1.84963 -0.31887154 +0.27601556
From 65 observations 2010 Dec. 10-24.